the dude
 1/13/2018 3:40:40 PM      Replies: 15

the dude1/12/2018 2:22:04 PM

Following Rhode Island and road game at Davidson, off to Richmond for another road game.

Previews?  Predictions?  Changes you'd like to see made for this game?

waterboy1/12/2018 3:18:23 PM

Richmond 77-66

the mv1/12/2018 3:48:12 PM

A change I'd like to see made for this game?  The start time of 4:30, so it wouldn't conflict with the Falcon-Eagle game.

the dude1/12/2018 4:31:04 PM

We'll get the game moved for you MV. 12Noon at the Smith Center would be better, change venue and time.

the mv1/12/2018 4:35:33 PM

Perfect Dude.  That would work out great.


the dude1/12/2018 4:37:42 PM

Haha, consider it done MV.


the dude1/12/2018 10:34:47 PM

Well this thread is quieter than normal.  I am sure we can all gather why.

GW wins this game, I'll consult my crystal ball, with a score shortly.

dmvpiranha1/13/2018 1:37:09 AM

Time to revive the thread then!

During the preseason, analysts were mixed regarding their ranking of Richmond in the Atlantic 10. Some had them as high as the 6-7 range based on the massive potential of De'Monte Buckingham, who was coming off a tremendous freshman year where he won rookie of the year, while others such as myself were not sold on their team post TJ Cline and ShawnDre' Jones who both finally graduated after it felt like they were on the team for like seven years. I would have put them a spot or two above us before the season started (I put us at 11th I think and them either 9th or 10th). I don't think anybody saw the utter collapse that their team has experienced so far this season though. The #FireMooneyMafia was out in full force as Richmond continued to drop game after game, though to be honest I understand where Spider fans are coming from; Mooney has been like the highest paid coach (or close to it) earning like a million per year for pretty much just his decent recruiting efforts alone of late (he did take them to the Sweet 16 in 2010-2011, but in the past six years he has only made the NIT twice and the CBI once). This will easily be his worst year at Richmond since his second year of coaching there when he only won eight games.

Statistically, the Spiders average four more points than us (after last game's pitiful 45 point performance, we now rank 344th at 63.3 ppg tied with perennial bottom-dweller Fordham; the remaining seven schools are: Arkansas Pine-Bluff, Maryland-Eastern Shore, Jackson State, Delaware State, Alabama A&M, Mississippi Valley State, and Coppin State - again, not the kind of company you want to be with). We have a +4 advantage on the boards which is the largest advantage we've had there in a while, so we have to command the glass as a team and not give them second chance opportunities. They also average a couple more assists and steals than us, so we must get them out of whatever offensive rhythm they may have going for them and limit turnovers from not dribbling too much or loosely and not throwing the ball away (the way we pass it from side to side along the perimeter always makes it look like that is about to happen on every possession). Shooting wise, the Spiders shoot a percentage point better than us from the field and behind the arc, while we hold an advantage by a percentage point from the line. Pretty comparable numbers between the two teams there.

So far, Richmond has won against UAB by 13 (part of the Cayman Islands Classic; a surprise considering UAB is one of the better teams in the C-USA), James Madison by 3 (home; the game was previously postponed due to bad weather; in any case JMU is one of the worst teams in the CAA of late), and Davidson by 11 (home; based on the way we played against them I guess at the very least the win is very notable).

Their losses have come against: Delaware by 13 (home; they are a better squad this year compared to last year but are still just okay at best; Darian had just 2 pts. and 2 asts. in 18 minutes off the bench for the Blue Hens that game, but has been shooting the ball much better the past three games - he is averaging 10 ppg while shooting a combined 12-22 from the field), Jacksonville State by 33 (part of the Cayman Islands Classic; a relative unknown for those who don't follow college hoops all that closely but they made their first ever NCAA tournament last year after a surprise run in the OVC tournament, and Ray Harper, who was previously at Western Kentucky for 5 years and had decent success, has a good chance to lead the Gamecocks back there again in just his second year there), #12 Cincinnati by 27 (part of the Cayman Islands Classic; it was to be expected that they would fall to one of the better teams in the AAC), Louisiana-Lafayette by 6 (again part of the Cayman Islands Classic; another sneaky good team that many don't know about that could be dangerous come March - they could definitely win the Sun Belt), Georgetown by 6 (home; not much to say here other than the fact that they were willing to go all the way to Richmond and yet still refuse to play us regardless of venue), Vermont by 6 (home; they will probably still win the America East although Albany and maybe even UMBC could challenge them if Lyles balls out), Wake Forest by 29 (away; they are not one of the better teams in ACC and it has been like that for some time now - probably since Chris Paul left), Old Dominion by 19 (road; ODU is one of the better programs in the C-USA and have pretty consistently been a solid mid-major college basketball program; if they didn't have a football team I would have loved for them to join the A-10 but I guess we already have too many Virginia schools), Bucknell by 8 (home; they have been a slight disappointment given their preseason expectations of being one of the best mid-majors in all of college basketball this year; that frontcourt combo of Thomas and Foulland is still impressive though), Boston College by 5 (road; they have been the worst ACC program the past several years and just got blown out against the Tar Heels in their last game but things are trending up for them as they beat #1 Duke earlier in the year and they played another pair of top 25 teams in UVA and Clemson closely; Richmond did play them tough and the game went to OT), Fordham by 4 (road; we all know their track record - they haven't won more than 18 games, which they've done just twice, in the past 27 years, making the NCAA tournament just once in that span; I guess we should be grateful for what we have accomplished in comparison), St. Louis by 7 (road; the only other A10 team that is offensively challenged next to Fordham and us), and Dayton by 6 (home; they did play them close and we saw what Dayton did to VCU tonight). A pretty challenging slate overall for them, so they have at least that to feel good about even though they've won just three games so far.

The Spiders more or less play an eight man rotation:

Grant Golden (St. James School; Winchester, VA) is a real feel good story, having returned fully healthy this season after suffering a medical scare in a game against Texas Tech his freshman year where he kept losing his balance due to an irregular heartbeat and sat out the rest of the season. This year, he leads the team in scoring (14.3 ppg) while adding 6 rebounds, a couple of assists, and over a block a game. The former GW target does a bit of everything, and it's noteworthy that he is a very good passer for an underclassman big. He is a bit turnover prone, as he coughs the ball up nearly three times a game so it would make sense to double team him underneath very often. Golden shoots decently inside (47% overall), but is just an okay free throw shooter at 69% and is still trying to develop a consistent shot from behind the arc at just 30%. Make him settle for jump shots.

De'Monte Buckingham (Henrico HS; Henrico, VA) as mentioned previously, the former Team Takeover player won rookie of the year in the Atlantic 10. While he hasn't taken the step forward that many had envisioned, Buckingham has still improved his scoring numbers (nearly 13 a game now) while leading the team in rebounding at 7.4 per game (have to box him out - very good for a player of his size and position), and averaging nearly 4 assists per game to boot. Another versatile player like Golden, but he is also pretty careless with the ball like Golden. Buckingham averages 2.8 turnovers per game (leads the team) so we need to create good ball pressure and try to knock the ball out of his hands. I think Yuta or Terry will be up to the challenge, especially if the latter can return to not making silly handcheck fouls that the refs aren't afraid to call. Where Buckingham has taken a step back overall is his shooting efficiency. He is shooting just 41% from the field overall, and a pedestrian 30% from three. He is a pretty decent foul shooter at 76% so like Golden, we cannot let him drive inside and get easy baskets to go near the rim. I can live with him making jump shots as long as we make it hard on him. He struggled at home against us, notching just eight points and three rebounds in 34 minutes (3-9 FG, 1-5 3-pt, 1-2 FT), but his performance in Foggy Bottom was another story when he never missed (7-7 FG, 1-1 3-pt, 1-2 FT) finishing with 16 points, 4 assists, and 3 steals in 26 minutes while being in a bit of foul trouble. Hopefully the former version of him shows up.

Nick Sherod (St. Christopher's School; Richmond, VA) is a sophomore shooting guard like Buckingham, but isn't as much of a primary option for them. He averages a hair over 10 points per game while adding nearly four rebounds but plays a lot more off the ball compared to the two aforementioned players so his assist totals aren't as high. Sherod is one of the better shooters on the team (especially from deep where he shoots it at 38%). Overall, he makes 43% of his shots from the field and shoots a very good 84% from the line. We have to prevent him from getting any and one opportunities and take him off the arc. Against Davidson, we did a much better job along the perimeter so hopefully that carries over when we guard him and close out on all of the shots that go up. He had seven points and three rebounds in 27 minutes off the bench in the first meeting (3-4 FG, 1-2 3-pt), but like Buckingham struggled at home where he started and scored just 3 points (1-4 FG, 1-3 3-pt) to go with four personal fouls.

Khwan Fore (Lee HS; Huntsville, AL) is back to torment us for yet another season as if going through several years of Kendall Anthony and ShawnDre' Jones getting to the rim at will didn't piss us off enough. The redshirt junior missed the first three games of the season with a stress reaction in his left tibia that occurred during the offseason. He's fully healthy now in time to play us, and has averaged 10.2 ppg since returning, along with three rebounds and 3 assists. Being one of the players who sees the ball in his hands quite frequently, Fore can be a bit careless with the ball and averages nearly two turnovers a game. Maybe as he inevitably gets to the rim, Yuta can use his wide wingspan to swipe the ball away. We have to force him to take jumpers as much as possible though, as he is shooting a career low 19% from behind the arc compared to 46% overall from the field and a pretty terrible 51% from the line. Daring him to take jumpers may be the way to go as I'm not sure if I can take another two games of him getting layup after layup as if our players are invisible on defense. He unsurprisingly dominated in both meetings against us last year; at our place he had 15 pts (6-9 FG, 3-5 FT), 3 rbs, and 4 asts in 35 minutes, while at their place he had 24 pts (9-14 FG, 1-3 3-pt, 5-7 FT) and 3 rbs in 37 minutes.

Jacob Gilyard (Barstow HS; Kansas City, MO) is a speedy freshman point guard who has done a nice job for them so far this season. Gilyard also gives them about 10 ppg along with a couple of rebounds and a team high 3.6 apg. He is also a pesky defender, averaging 2.5 steals per game. Hopefully in the scenario that Mooney assigns him to Jair, the amount of dribbling is minimized a bit to prevent us from turning the ball over. Gilyard leads the team in minutes at almost 36 a game, so maybe we can find some way to tire him out. Of the previous names mentioned, Gilyard is probably the least efficient shooter overall from the field (just 40%), although he can hit the three (~34%) and is a good free throw shooter at 83%. Again, prevent him from getting to the rim and force him to take off-balanced jumpers. A tall order I know, but this will be a good test to see how quickly we can improve guarding penetration.

The rest of the rotation consists of: Julius Johnson (4.3 ppg, 1.5 rpg) their designated shooter who leads the team in 3 point shooting (42%), while shooting 43% overall and 80% from the line (he failed to make any of his four three point attempts against us last year; he averaged roughly 3 ppg to go with a couple of rebounds), Solly Stansbury (3.3 ppg, 1.8 rpg) not a very efficient shooter at just 36% from the field, a dreadful 18% from three, and a mediocre 62% from the charity stripe, and Nathan Cayo (2.1 ppg, 1.9 rpg) another freshman guard who is pretty good at finishing inside (50%) but has yet to make a three on the season in seven attempts and is a lousy free throw shooter at 33%. Joe Kirby may also see limited time, but won't have much of an impact (he did score 4 pts in the second meeting - 2-3 FG, 0-1 3-pt - but played a total of 12 minutes combined in the two meetings). The rest of the team may make an appearance should it be another blowout (I hope in our favor this time should it happen).

I think at this point what I want to see doesn't necessarily match up with what I expect to see. I want to see us run actual sets, get out in transition, and take it to the freaking hoop for a change on offense (really cut down on the number of jump shots) but based on the past 17 games I don't see any reason to expect any kind of sudden change in that regard. Defensively, I've mentioned it in the preview several times already. We need to clog the paint to prevent any penetration and force Richmond to take a bunch of jump shots. For the most part, that seems to be a weakness among many of their players (though watch as they all have a career night against us tomorrow). Rebounding is crucial as usual.

Coming into the season, Richmond was ranked 148th by ESPN and 112th by CBS. They currently rank 230th on KenPom (Offense: 211th, Defense: 238th, Pace: 241st, SOS: 47th). Nothing in any of those categories really stick out. Our offenses are comparable at this point (pretty mediocre - Richmond has a slight edge there), we play better defense, and they play at faster pace than us (not hard to do). Hopefully our slight defensive "advantage" is the difference in the game and we pick up the win. ESPN gives us a 38.9% chance to win the road matchup so there's still hope - the spread is currently Richmond -1.5 so maybe Vegas is indicating a bounce back performance. I just want to see us look more engaged and competitive out there on both sides of the ball. I'm still rooting for Mojo but I want to see him make adjustments - take timeouts appropriately when Richmond goes on a run and install better sets on both sides of the ball. This can be done with or without "talent" which I think we still have enough of at this point to still be competitive at the very least. A coach has to get the most out of each player and set them straight when they aren't doing something right. Hoping Mojo continues to develop that skill for the remainder of the season. Since 1949-1950, we have not played any team more times than we have against Richmond. In 87 career meetings since then, we have gone 52-35 (60% win percentage). This game comes at an opportune time for more than just us struggling this season though. We have struggled to beat the Spiders of late, dropping 5 of the past 6 meetings, so we get the chance to get back on the winning side against them tomorrow.      


bigfan1/13/2018 2:37:30 AM

This game comes down to one thing. Who has the finer young men?

Is it unpatriotic to question your country? Do we live under coach mojo or coach Maojo? Well this sailor takes to the ocean as he sees fit. This Bizarre turn of events has the old soldier in me scratching the helmet. An article in some commie rag DC paper, details exactly what happened at GW, but I will wait to here more from posters withe the real story. Posters who use a real man like Rich Maier but only with Dick as their first name. Everytime I see the word Dick, it reminds of our patron saint, Michael Thomas Lonergan for some reason. 

Well I don't drink the Kool Aid because the tyrannical regime of Patrick Nero says so.   I drink the blood of pigs I have sacrificed at the altar of ML, and on game day the sweat of our  fine young men. 


skittles1/13/2018 6:42:35 AM

Yall see that Dayton VCU game? Yeah something like that. But we aren’t the team that hits 17 3s. And we don’t hit 70. 

fan1/13/2018 7:31:30 AM

Pig's blood? 

Doesn't Andrew Zimmerman drink it for breakfast?

fan1/13/2018 7:33:44 AM

Oh-Who needs the game most? 

My guess, because there's no logic here anymore, unless Yuta hits for 24, its a spider swarm. 

the other mg1/13/2018 2:34:10 PM

At this juncture, what's the point?  Richmond 66, GW 59, in an unwatchable game.

the dude1/13/2018 2:36:39 PM

GW 66  Richmond   63

fan1/13/2018 2:43:00 PM

Whoa Nellie!!!  CBS is going to get hammered by the A10 today. 

bigfan1/13/2018 3:40:40 PM

Clash of perennial 21st Century basketball powers (though who could and did in one case kick our ass big time) LaSalle and Duquesne went into triple overtime on NBC sports.

Second half of NBC Sports televised George Mason-St. Louis game started around 3: 35, less than an hour before our game is set to begin.

Think part of our game is not going to be televised, sparing nausea to the general viewing public, but we like the pain. Or theoretically, game time could be held for the millions of TV viewers.

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